Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction
Updated 21 October 2026
Chelsea host Tottenham in a London derby with the two clubs at opposite ends of the table. Here is our preview and prediction.
Estimated probabilities
Form guide
Chelsea are 4th with 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats) and won 2-0 at Everton last weekend with a clean sheet.
Tottenham are struggling in 16th with just 6 points (1 win, 3 draws, 3 defeats). They did get a confidence boost on Monday night with a 3-1 home win over Coventry.
What the numbers say
The statistical model makes Chelsea clear favourites at about 57%, with Spurs at around 21%. Chelsea's defence has been the more reliable of the two, while Tottenham have conceded regularly this season.
Our view
Derbies are tighter than the table suggests, and Spurs will be lifted by Monday's win. But Chelsea's home form and defensive solidity should be enough to take the three points.
Probabilities come from a statistical model, calculated on 21 October 2026. Line-ups, injuries and suspensions can change before kick-off, so check before you bet. A prediction is never a certainty.
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Questions
Who is favourite for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea, 4th in the Premier League and at home, are favourites with about a 57% chance of winning according to the statistical model.
What time is Chelsea vs Tottenham in Nigeria?
Saturday 24 October 2026 at 5:30 PM in Lagos (4:30 PM in Accra, 7:30 PM in Nairobi).
All predictions
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